<Fair City Amsterdam> Onderhandelingen en tegendraadse ontwikkelingen

[Natuurbescherming ZO]

https://open.substack.com/pub/korybko/p/kiev-mayor-klitschko-speculated-that?r=9zg41&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

"Zelensky knows that he won’t reconquer his country’s lost territory no matter what he says for the purpose of keeping morale high, hence the need to informally explore a compromise for ending the conflict in the most politically “face-saving” way possible

To summarize for the reader’s convenience, the US’ political uncertainty, the Ukrainian Conflict’s military-strategic dynamics continuing to favor Russia, and the growing attractiveness of China as a mediator combined to influence Zelensky to send his top diplomat to Beijing. This will be Kuleba’s first trip there since 2022, which followed the first such trip to Kiev by the Vatican’s top diplomat during this same period, thus advancing the scenario of China and the EU (via the Vatican) jointly hosting peace talks.

This is precisely what Orban proposed in his peace mission report for the EU, but since he’s considered by the Eurocrats to be too toxic to associate with, they’d prefer relying on the Vatican as their backchannel for exploring Kiev’s interest in this possibility instead. Zelensky knows that China doesn’t support his maximalist objectives in this conflict, but it’s also not in favor of Russia’s either, so his decision to dispatch Kuleba to Beijing hints at an emerging interest to have it broker a compromise.”

https://open.substack.com/pub/korybko/p/five-takeaways-from-hungary-and-slovakias?r=9zg41&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

"Ukraine’s decision last month to stop the transit of Russian oil from Lukoil across its territory has hit Hungary and Slovakia, who have EU sanctions waivers to continue purchasing this resource, very hard. They’ve accordingly requested that the European Commission mediate between them and Kiev on the basis that the latter’s actions violate its 2014 Association Agreement with the bloc. The exact outcome of this dispute remains uncertain, but the following five takeaways encapsulate its essence:

1. Ukraine Is Punishing Hungary & Slovakia For Their Anti-War Positions

2. Weaponizing Energy Is An Ironic Means To The Abovementioned End

3. Hungary Just Implied That Two Can Play That Game Though

4. Any EU-Mediated Resolution Will Be Spun To Impugn Hungary & Slovakia

5. Some Of The Damage That’s Already Been inflicted Is Irreparable


Hetty




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